empty
02.03.2023 10:54 AM
Will the Fed be able to control inflation?

This image is no longer relevant

The main component of the dollar's weakness yesterday was a report from China indicating that their manufacturing sector is growing strongly. It is an important component of China's economic recovery after its massive shutdown. Another factor putting bearish pressure on the dollar was the strength of the euro. Together, these fundamental events led to a 0.39% decline in the dollar.

Also, in the latest report from the Institute for Supply Management, U.S. manufacturing data shows that inflation continues to rise.

The ISM said on Wednesday that the manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 47.7% in February from 44.7% in January. These data coincided with the consensus forecast.

The report also noted that activity in the manufacturing sector continues to be at its lowest level since May 2020, when the global economy was forced to stop.

Values of such diffusion indices above 50% mean economic growth, and vice versa. The further away from 50%, higher or lower, the faster or slower the rate of change.

The report said that the price index rose to 51.3%. This is the first time in four months that U.S. producer prices have begun to rise.

Analysts say rising manufacturing prices could mean that the Federal Reserve will not be able to control inflation even as it continues to aggressively tighten monetary policy.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 73.8% chance that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points and 26.2% that the Fed will be more aggressive in raising rates by 50 basis points.

Looking at the components of the report, the new orders index climbed to 47% from 42.5% in January. At the same time, the production index fell to 47.3% from the previous 48%.

The labor market lost momentum, returning to a lower reading of 49.1% from 50.6% in January.

On such mixed data, the dollar is still holding its former positions with small deviations, reinforcing itself with the yield of 10-year bonds.

This image is no longer relevant

Yields on 10-year bonds topped 4% for the first time since October.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

GBP/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Uncertainty regarding the Bank of Japan's future monetary policy is putting pressure on the yen, while concerns about the UK's fiscal policy and differing outlooks between the countries' central banks

Irina Yanina 21:00 2025-09-22 UTC+2

Bitcoin's vigor exhausted?

One step forward, two steps back. Bitcoin has tumbled from monthly highs as markets reassess the scope of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and question whether demand for crypto remains

Marek Petkovich 12:05 2025-09-22 UTC+2

Market sees no bubble

No matter how many warning signs emerge, people always seem to find new ways to believe that the good times can last forever. Right now, the rules of the game

Marek Petkovich 12:03 2025-09-22 UTC+2

PCE Indicator to Draw Attention This Week (There Is a Chance for Continued Local Growth in Gold Prices and the USD/CHF Pair)

The upcoming week will be packed with various events—including the release of important economic data, primarily from the U.S., speeches by influential central bank officials, and the Swiss National Bank's

Pati Gani 11:30 2025-09-22 UTC+2

Don't Expect Much from European Central Bank Officials

The European Central Bank (ECB) officials have taken a wait-and-see approach and are eagerly anticipating the next release of their economic forecasts. It is quite possible that these new forecasts

Jakub Novak 11:02 2025-09-22 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, Monday, marks the fourth consecutive day of negative sentiment for the EUR/USD pair, although it is attempting to reverse the trend by trading around the 1.1730 level. The pair's

Irina Yanina 07:54 2025-09-22 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview on September 22, 2025

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its downward trend on Friday, and it was much more pronounced than what we saw with the EUR/USD pair. This allows us to immediately conclude

Paolo Greco 07:39 2025-09-22 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview on September 22, 2025

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement throughout Friday, which began Wednesday evening. After these 2.5 days, it's difficult to say the euro depreciated significantly or that the dollar

Paolo Greco 07:31 2025-09-22 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

On Friday, the Canadian dollar is gaining against the US dollar, with the USD/CAD pair halting its two-day advance and paring earlier intraday losses, despite a stronger US dollar

Irina Yanina 21:08 2025-09-19 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.